Peter Harcher today seems to be arguing that it is almost inevitable that Labor will change leader to Rudd, and that it’s only inertia and Rudd’s agreement not to challenge that’s holding them back. No doubt speculation like this will eventually create its own reality and the Labor party will follow it. They will then be awfully surprised when those polls turn out to have been wrong, and people actually don’t really like Rudd once he’s again in the public spotlight.
With my right-wing hat on I’m not sure whether it would be good or bad for Labor to change leader. On the one hand, Abbott appears to have Gillard beaten, so no change is a good thing. On the other hand, I would figure that a Labor party that changes leader yet again will look feckless and incompetent. And I think the media will be much less forgiving of Rudd’s old tendencies this time round. I can’t really imagine him being as popular as the polls say, and the leadership change would further damage brand Labor.
Really what I’d like to see is some policies to discuss. But the budget comes first.