Logically they couldn’t stay as bad as they were, the events over the past few weeks were abysmal for Labor, a 2% recovery is about right. So a recovery in their numbers was predictable (and I predicted it even). It’s 50/50 whether it will get better again in the next poll, but I don’t see a medium term trend upwards for them yet (if ever). I think the mess has done long-term damage, it will be part of the reason they cannot get a breakthrough in polling. So again, they are waiting for Abbott to make a mistake. It’s his to lose. The question is whether the Libs have the discipline to play it out all the way to the election. They’ve been running a tight ship for the last couple of years, so clearly it’s possible. But sections of the media (particularly the Fairfax media) are waiting for something to pounce on, and I reckon they’ll find something before election day. I’m not sure it will be enough.