Interesting in the Australian today.
Labor’s support today is the same as it was the day that Rudd was deposed.
The big difference is that when Rudd was deposed and Gillard came in, the polls jumped for Labor from an election losing position to an election winning position. So Rudd was the low point, Gillard was the high point. They then fizzled over the next few polls.
This time, the polls have already jumped. Rudd is the high point, and it’s only as good as the low point last time (before Gillard took over).
The polls are looking up for Labor at the moment, but my assessment of that statistic is that they’re not enough good to get there. Maybe Rudd can bring in some policies that people like, but also maybe people will remember the policies he used to have that they didn’t like.